The present-day U.S. military qualifies by any measure as highly professional, much more so than its Cold War predecessor. Yet the purpose of today’s professionals is not to preserve peace but to fight unending wars in distant places. Intoxicated by a post-Cold War belief in its own omnipotence, the United States allowed itself to be drawn into a long series of armed conflicts, almost all of them yielding unintended consequences and imposing greater than anticipated costs. Since the end of the Cold War, U.S. forces have destroyed many targets and killed many people. Only rarely, however, have they succeeded in accomplishing their assigned political purposes. . . . [F]rom our present vantage point, it becomes apparent that the “Revolution of ‘89” did not initiate a new era of history. At most, the events of that year fostered various unhelpful illusions that impeded our capacity to recognize and respond to the forces of change that actually matter.

Andrew Bacevich


Sunday, January 13, 2013

News of the Day for Sunday, January 13, 2013

Seven civilians are killed in an explosion in a mosque in Wardak province, under disputed circumstances. A joint U.S.-Afghan force had conducted a night raid in the Sayed Abad district in which 4 Taliban fighters were killed; the explosion occurred shortly thereafter. Wardak police, and the Taliban, say a NATO air strike killed the civilians, but an ISAF spokesman denies it, saying fire had come from the mosque but that NATO forces had left the area before the explosion occurred. AP says the civilians were digging through the rubble of the mosque, which had apparently been destroyed in the firefight,  in order to remove bodies, when the explosion occurred. Khaama has a somewhat different story, saying that airstrikes in the area continued for several hours.

The chief prosecutor of Herat province and 2 bodyguards are killed in a drive-by shooting.

 At least 80 people are trapped by heavy snowfall in Barfi pass, northern Baghlan province, and are at risk for their lives. Some people in the area have already been killed by avalanches. The authorities have warned people not to travel but some have ignored the warnings.

Due to the lack of adequate border and trade agreements, 2,500 tons of Afghan raisins are stuck on the border with Uzbekistan, and cannot be exported. (We noted last week the temporary resolution of similar problems with Pakistan. Afghanistan's future prosperity, once the foreign presence is reduced, obviously depends on a functional government that can solve these problems.)

Joint operation said to capture a Taliban leader in Helmand.

TOLO reports on the mixed reaction of Afghan politicians to Karzai's recent visit to Washington. The lack of clarity on what will happen in the next two years and what foreign forces will remain, along with disputes over whether any should, and the path to peace, continues to provoke controversy. (In spite of ubiquitous corruption, violent intimidation in some places, and government ineffectiveness, Afghanistan today does have robust political debate and a vigorous free press. We will see if that can continue. -- C)


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